The Congress’ serious weapons, the Gandhis, have, nonetheless, been prominent by their nonappearance in Bengal. They have not yet crusaded. While Priyanka has been holding stronghold in Assam, Rahul has been initiating the mission in Kerala.
The lobbying for Phase 2 of Bengal decisions finished on March 30. Surveying will be held for 30 seats on April 1. With this stage, 20% of the seats of Bengal would have been finished with their democratic and the destiny of the competitors fixed in polling stations.
Rahul has likewise led rallies in Tamil Nadu however they have given Bengal a skip.
The Congress party is challenging 91 seats, in partnership with the Left gatherings and the Indian Secular Front. The front, called Sanyukta Morcha, is going by the CPM. The Congress gathering’s effort in the state is being dealt with by Member of Parliament and ex-head of Opposition in Lok Sabha, Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury.
So what are the explanations behind which the Gandhi kin have not crusaded in Bengal yet?
- No genuine possibility in Bengal
The Congress party is challenging short of what 33% of the Assembly situates in Bengal. It is the lesser accomplice in the collusion with the Left. The challenge in Bengal has generally turned bipolar, with the Trinamool Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party arising as the fundamental competitors, with the Sanyukta Morcha being consigned to third place.
The Morcha is relied upon to pack, best case scenario, 21 seats, according to a survey of surveys by Crowdwisdom360.
Considering this, the Gandhis feel they need to center their endeavors in Kerala (which shows a solid pattern of removing officeholder governments) and Assam (where it has shaped an imposing collusion with the AIUDF and the Left gatherings). The BJP doesn’t have as incredible a record in shielding state governments and the Congress trusts it gets an opportunity given the resentment against CAA in the state. Procedure insightful not an awful choice by any means.
- Giving Mamata a free run
The gathering would not like to hurt the possibilities of Mamata Banerjee’s TMC government. Mamata is confronting a solid challenge from the BJP. At the public level, the BJP is a greater adversary for the Congress than the TMC. It would not like to be viewed as assisting BJP with winning.
Against BJP provincial powers are as of now annoyed with the oppressiveness of the Congress and Gandhis might not have any desire to upset their functioning associations with territorial satraps further.
The TMC had even required all resistance groups to join in Bengal to crush collective powers which Congress state authority had derided. The Gandhis are basically avoiding assaulting Mamata whom they see as a future accomplice of excellent partnership against the saffron party.
- TMC and Congress have corresponding vote blocks
Both TMC and Congress are vieing for the Muslim vote in Bengal. Muslims represent 27% of the state populace and can impact the result of upwards of 102 seats. Congress had won 30 of these seats, two-third of its count in 2016. 60% of Congress party citizens and 40% of TMC electors come from the local area.
In the 2019 general decisions, the TMC had gotten 65% of local area support, while the Congress had accumulated 22% of help, according to India Today-Axis My India leave survey. The better the Congress does, the more terrible it very well may be for the TMC and thus will help the BJP.
A split of votes in a portion of the seats could profit BJP as we have found in the minority ruled seats in the Hindi belt.
A valid example is the Maldah Uttar seat in Bengal. In 2019, split of Muslim votes helped BJP win this Muslim greater part seat.
- Seats where Congress has great possibilities haven’t casted a ballot yet
The Congress party has generally been solid in the areas of Murshidabad, Malda, Dinajpur and some different locales of focal and north Bengal. These seats have not casted a ballot yet. They are planned to go for surveying in later stages, fourth stage onwards.
The Gandhis who might by then be liberated from Assam, Kerala and Tamil Nadu, as they would have finished up their deciding on April 6. They would then be accessible for battling in Bengal. Technique shrewd not a terrible choice to zero in on solid zones.
- Keep away from shame of coalition with Left
The gathering has collaborated with the Left Front in Bengal, However, in Kerala, the gathering is going up against a similar Left front. Rahul Gandhi is continually assaulting Kerala’s Left Democratic Front Chief Minister, Pinayari Vijayan, for being associated with debasement cases, absence of improvement in the state and not satisfaction of guarantees.
He can’t be seen in front of an audience with CPM pioneers in Bengal and restricting a similar CPM government in Kerala. This could weaken Congress gathering’s odds in Kerala where it has the most obvious opportunity to win. The citizens could be befuddled and the framework demotivated. This would uncover the gathering’s twofold norms and offer ammo to the BJP to focus on the gathering.
The eight-stage surveys in Bengal have come as an aid for the Congress as it assists the gathering with concealing its doublespeak and keep away from humiliation.
The gathering’s union with a Muslim pastor’s gathering, India Secular Front, additionally places the public initiative in a difficult situation. The G-23 pioneers have gone against this association.
Gandhis who guarantee to be the light carriers of secularism can’t hazard being marked as pushing communalism.
To summarize, a large group of variables going from vital to strategic to operational are answerable for the Gandhis skipping battling in Bengal till date.
We could see them in real life from the fourth stage onwards.